應重視經營風險
電力體製的變革和市場環境的變化對風電企業的管理界麵、結構布局、投(tou)資(zi)決(jue)策(ce)和(he)市(shi)場(chang)運(yun)營(ying)帶(dai)來(lai)革(ge)命(ming)性(xing)的(de)影(ying)響(xiang),市(shi)場(chang)作(zuo)用(yong)的(de)加(jia)強(qiang)將(jiang)進(jin)一(yi)步(bu)放(fang)大(da)風(feng)電(dian)企(qi)業(ye)管(guan)理(li)水(shui)平(ping)差(cha)異(yi)對(dui)效(xiao)益(yi)的(de)影(ying)響(xiang)。在(zai)市(shi)場(chang)的(de)洗(xi)禮(li)下(xia),擁(yong)有(you)更(geng)強(qiang)成(cheng)本(ben)控(kong)製(zhi)能(neng)力(li)、更優市場定價策略、更豐厚資源儲備、更(geng)完(wan)備(bei)銷(xiao)售(shou)渠(qu)道(dao)的(de)企(qi)業(ye)將(jiang)具(ju)有(you)更(geng)加(jia)突(tu)出(chu)的(de)競(jing)爭(zheng)能(neng)力(li),也(ye)將(jiang)醞(yun)釀(niang)著(zhe)新(xin)一(yi)輪(lun)的(de)市(shi)場(chang)整(zheng)合(he)重(zhong)組(zu)浪(lang)潮(chao)。具(ju)體(ti)而(er)言(yan),風(feng)電(dian)企(qi)業(ye)未(wei)來(lai)預(yu)計(ji)會(hui)有(you)以(yi)下(xia)幾(ji)方(fang)麵(mian)變(bian)化(hua):
改革初期,部分地區電價存在下調的風險。電力消費終端產品間的差異很小,因此在改革初期放開市場競爭後,“拚價格”將是部分地區“拚市場”的(de)主(zhu)要(yao)手(shou)段(duan)。特(te)別(bie)是(shi)風(feng)電(dian)運(yun)營(ying)成(cheng)本(ben)主(zhu)要(yao)是(shi)可(ke)變(bian)成(cheng)本(ben),在(zai)覆(fu)蓋(gai)固(gu)定(ding)成(cheng)本(ben)後(hou)由(you)於(yu)邊(bian)際(ji)成(cheng)本(ben)很(hen)小(xiao),電(dian)量(liang)的(de)邊(bian)際(ji)效(xiao)益(yi)貢(gong)獻(xian)顯(xian)著(zhu),限(xian)電(dian)地(di)區(qu)的(de)部(bu)分(fen)企(qi)業(ye)不(bu)可(ke)避(bi)免(mian)地(di)會(hui)采(cai)取(qu)以(yi)價(jia)格(ge)換(huan)市(shi)場(chang)的(de)競(jing)爭(zheng)策(ce)略(lve)。
雖然近年來風電建設的主戰場已經轉向了南方不限電地區,但東北、蒙西、新疆、甘肅等“三北”fengdianjididezhuangjirongliangyiranzhanbijiaogao。shangshudiqushichangjinnianlaipubianchengxianchudianyuanguosheng,quanshehuiyongdianliangzengchangfalidetezheng。yidongbeihemengdongdiquweili,2015年一季度,東北電網統調裝機容量1.18億千瓦,全網最大負荷5648萬千瓦,裝機容量是最大負荷的2倍,同時隨著遼寧紅沿河核電站3、4號機即將並網,5、6號機組獲得核準,裝機過剩的矛盾將更加突出。在改革初期這些地區的電價存在顯著的下調風險。
dingjiacelveheshichangqudaojiangzhijiejuedingfengdianqiyexiaoyishuiping。suizhefengdianshichangjingzhengmoshidezhuanbian,yingyeshouruzuidahuajiangchengweijuedingjingyingjixiaodezuizhongyaoyinsu。congjiageheshuliangfangmianlaikan,yishizhiyoudajiangengjiahelidedingjiacelvehedingjiamoxingcainenggouzuiyouxiaodibuzhuoshichangjiyu,zheduimuqianwanquanzhixinggudingdianjiadefengdianqiyetichulegenggaodeyaoqiu;ershisuizhegoudianzhutiyoudanyidedianwanggongsibiangengweidulidepeishoudiangongsihedayonghu,zhangwoyouzhikehuziyuanheshichangqudaojiangchengweifengdianqiyejingyingdehexinjingzhengli。
單dan純chun的de風feng電dian企qi業ye可ke能neng會hui麵mian臨lin流liu動dong資zi產chan周zhou轉zhuan率lv下xia降jiang的de狀zhuang況kuang。目mu前qian風feng電dian電dian價jia主zhu要yao由you火huo電dian標biao杆gan價jia格ge和he可ke再zai生sheng能neng源yuan補bu貼tie兩liang部bu分fen組zu成cheng,隨sui著zhe電dian力li體ti製zhi改gai革ge的de推tui進jin,不bu介jie入ru配pei售shou電dian領ling域yu的de單dan純chun風feng電dian發fa電dian企qi業ye可ke能neng會hui麵mian臨lin流liu動dong資zi產chan周zhou轉zhuan率lv的de壓ya力li。一yi是shi補bu貼tie以yi外wai的de價jia格ge目mu前qian電dian網wang公gong司si基ji本ben能neng夠gou按an照zhao標biao杆gan價jia格ge及ji時shi足zu額e結jie算suan,伴ban隨sui著zhe售shou電dian對dui象xiang的de多duo元yuan化hua,針zhen對dui小xiao型xing配pei售shou電dian企qi業ye和he直zhi供gong電dian客ke戶hu的de電dian費fei回hui收shou可ke能neng會hui出chu現xian遲chi滯zhi乃nai至zhi無wu法fa回hui收shou的de可ke能neng性xing;二是隨著火電、shuidianjingjiashangwangdailaidedianjiaxiajiang,xiangyinganbilijitidekezaishengnengyuanjijinzhengshouliangyujiyejiangyousuojianshao,kezaishengnengyuanjijindequekoukenenghuijinyibufangda,daozhikezaishengnengyuanbutiehuishousuduxiajiang。yinci,danchundefengdianqiyekenenghuimianlinliudongzichanzhouzhuanlvxiajiangdeyali。
風feng電dian企qi業ye的de經jing營ying業ye績ji可ke能neng會hui出chu現xian分fen化hua,帶dai來lai新xin一yi輪lun整zheng合he機ji遇yu。傳chuan統tong上shang風feng電dian企qi業ye的de效xiao益yi主zhu要yao取qu決jue於yu資zi源yuan質zhi量liang和he結jie構gou布bu局ju,在zai全quan新xin的de市shi場chang環huan境jing下xia,對dui市shi場chang機ji遇yu的de把ba握wo判pan斷duan、youzhikehudequdaozhanlinghechengbenfeiyongdechongfenkongzhidengguanlixingyaosuduiqiyejingyingdeyingxiangjianghuibeifangda。yongyougengchengshudingjiamoxingnenggoushixianliyizuiyou,shixiangengyouzhiqudaozhanlingnenggoukuodafene,jiaqiangchengbenfeiyongdekongzhinenggoushidejiagegengjiajingzhengli。yinci,fengdianqiyedejingyingyejijianghuisuizheguanlishuipingdechayierchuxianfenhua,yongyougengqiangguanlijingyandeqiyeshichangyoushijianghuikuoda,xiangyingdifengdianchanyejianghuichuxianxinyilundebinggouzhenghejiyu。
需迅速“變陣”
市(shi)場(chang)環(huan)境(jing)的(de)變(bian)化(hua)既(ji)是(shi)對(dui)企(qi)業(ye)戰(zhan)略(lve)布(bu)局(ju)和(he)經(jing)營(ying)能(neng)力(li)的(de)重(zhong)大(da)挑(tiao)戰(zhan),更(geng)是(shi)實(shi)現(xian)跨(kua)越(yue)式(shi)發(fa)展(zhan)的(de)有(you)利(li)機(ji)遇(yu)。麵(mian)對(dui)電(dian)力(li)體(ti)製(zhi)改(gai)革(ge)的(de)戰(zhan)略(lve)要(yao)求(qiu)和(he)經(jing)濟(ji)新(xin)常(chang)態(tai)的(de)市(shi)場(chang)環(huan)境(jing),隻(zhi)要(yao)把(ba)握(wo)機(ji)遇(yu)、優化體製、突出優勢,就一定能夠在改革的夾縫中跨越發展,引領前行,為此,相關企業應從以下幾方麵進行調整,應對外部變化:
加強分布式電源發展,占據直接麵對客戶的前沿陣地。要緊抓近年來分布式光伏、分fen布bu式shi風feng電dian和he燃ran機ji分fen布bu式shi電dian源yuan站zhan技ji術shu不bu斷duan成cheng熟shu的de有you利li機ji遇yu,加jia強qiang分fen布bu式shi電dian源yuan的de發fa展zhan。在zai積ji累lei配pei電dian側ce市shi場chang的de技ji術shu和he管guan理li經jing驗yan的de同tong時shi,扼e守shou住zhu直zhi接jie麵mian對dui穩wen定ding、優質客戶群體的前沿陣地。以此為基礎,積極培育成熟的銷售渠道,努力擴大集中式電源的市場份額。
探索拓展主營業務領域,應對流動資產周轉壓力。與現有發電業務通過電網銷售延遲結算的模式相比,配售電企業的“先收費”模式將獲得更多的現金流和更快的資金周轉。在積極拓展發電側資源的同時,建議探索拓展主營業務領域,探索通過與大用戶、gongyeyuanqukaizhanhezuodefangshi,shezupeishoudianyewu,yingduiliudongzichanzhouzhuanyali。tongshi,zaishangyemoshishangyoujiandandifagongdianxiangtigongzengzhifuwuzhuanbian,zhenduinengyuanxuqiutigongchengtaohua、高效清潔的冷熱電供給解決方案,將上下遊的優勢充分融合,實現由能源生產者向能源消費服務提供者的轉變。
綜合能源集團應發揮優勢,拓展產融深度結合的渠道多源供給占領市場。綜合能源集團旗下的風電企業,要充分發揮電源齊全、布局均衡的優勢,統籌協調水電、火電、風電和光伏產業的市場競爭策略。通過打捆銷售、錯峰銷售等營銷手段,更大限度地發揮風電的市場競爭特點和優勢,實現市場份額擴展、zongtixiaoyizuiyou。dianliqiyejunweizibenmijixingqiye,suizhedianlishichanghuatuijin,jianyitansuotongguojianggudingshouyiqihuoheyuedengzichanzhengquanhuachulidefangshi,jiangdizichanzongliang、tishengxiaoyishuiping。tongshi,yujinrongqiyegongtongkaifaqihuochanpin,duichongyouyudianlishichangfengxianheziyuanfengxiandailaideqiyejingyingfengxian,tansuochanrongshendujiehedequdao,zhubuxiang“輕資產”、“重效益”轉變。
qianghuashichangdeyanjiupanduan,youhuatouzijuecemoxing。zhongdaxiangmudetouzijuecejiangduiqiyedeweilaifazhandailaixianzhuyingxiang。muqianfengdianxiangmutouzijuecezhuyaojizhongyuziyuandepanduan,duiyushichangxiaonajiaoweiboruo。weilaidetouzijueceyaoqianghuaduiquanshengmingzhouqineishichangzhuangkuangdeyanjiupanduan,jutixiangmuanpaishangyaoshiyingfadianjihuagaige,zhubukaolvyichangqijichugoudianxieyideluoshiqingkuangzuoweitouzijuecedeqianzhitiaojian,shidezengliangxiangmuquebaochanshengxiaoyi。
充chong分fen用yong好hao用yong足zu國guo家jia支zhi持chi性xing政zheng策ce,提ti升sheng產chan業ye競jing爭zheng力li。在zai不bu考kao慮lv汙wu染ran外wai部bu性xing的de情qing況kuang下xia,目mu前qian火huo電dian的de度du電dian成cheng本ben較jiao風feng電dian還hai是shi有you較jiao為wei顯xian著zhu的de競jing爭zheng優you勢shi。因yin此ci在zai放fang開kai市shi場chang價jia格ge後hou,風feng電dian企qi業ye要yao充chong分fen用yong好hao用yong足zu國guo家jia支zhi持chi性xing政zheng策ce,根gen據ju配pei售shou電dian企qi業ye和he用yong電dian企qi業ye的de可ke再zai生sheng能neng源yuan配pei額e合he理li製zhi定ding營ying銷xiao策ce略lve,積ji極ji落luo實shi可ke再zai生sheng能neng源yuan優you先xian上shang網wang要yao求qiu,提ti升sheng產chan業ye總zong體ti競jing爭zheng力li。同tong時shi抓zhua住zhu機ji遇yu,加jia強qiang資zi產chan整zheng合he,改gai變bian目mu前qian風feng電dian企qi業ye裝zhuang機ji分fen散san、規模偏小的態勢,在區域內形成與傳統電源相當的裝機規模,提升市場話語權。
